PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Set Handicap: Katerina Siniakova (-1.5) vs Ashlyn Krueger (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katerina Siniakova

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Katerina Siniakova
—
Ashlyn Krueger
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:1 trades$20 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 302 min agoofficial metadata 975 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$20
tracked
$20

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Katerina Siniakova" if Katerina Siniakova wins by 2 or more sets than Ashlyn Krueger, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ashlyn Krueger."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Katerina Siniakova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Ashlyn Krueger."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Siniakova and Ashlyn Krueger in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Katerina Siniakova" if Katerina Siniakova wins by 2 or more sets than Ashlyn Krueger, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ashlyn Krueger." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Katerina Siniakova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Ashlyn Krueger." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Katerina Siniakova; negative values favor Ashlyn Krueger. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaterina Siniakova · $0
6hAshlyn Krueger · $20
24hAshlyn Krueger · $20

Katerina Siniakova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Katerina Siniakova price. Ashlyn Krueger fills are converted to the complementary Katerina Siniakova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h33.0¢
VWAP 7d33.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Katerina Siniakova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$20
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katerina Siniakova
42.5¢$39.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katerina Siniakova
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Katerina Siniakova (-0.5) vs Ashlyn Krueger (+0.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Krueger vs. Siniakova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Krueger vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Krueger vs. Siniakova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Krueger vs. Siniakova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Krueger vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.