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Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Teodora Kostovic

● quote 50 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $848.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $525.2KEvent: Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Teodora Kostovic

Indicative prices · 50 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

1.0¢
Anastasia Zakharova
99.9¢
Teodora Kostovic
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 21 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:182 trades$135.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 62 min agoofficial metadata 51 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Anastasia Zakharova · $8.9K net·21 wallets(3🐋)·$92.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeodora Kostovic$15.9K@ 51¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$14.2K
tracked
$135.3K

21 verified profitable wallets: Anastasia Zakharova · $8.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +46.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 50 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 62 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 51 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 06:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Zakharova and Teodora Kostovic in the Guangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Zakharova' if Anastasia Zakharova advances against Teodora Kostovic. This market will resolve to 'Teodora Kostovic' if Teodora Kostovic advances against Anastasia Zakharova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Anastasia Zakharova2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Anastasia Zakharova2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Anastasia Zakharova@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -43.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Anastasia Zakharova@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -42.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Teodora Kostovic UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $14.1K → $7.0K · 21s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Anastasia Zakharova; negative values favor Teodora Kostovic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAnastasia Zakharova · $0
6hTeodora Kostovic · $14.2K
24hTeodora Kostovic · $14.2K

Anastasia Zakharova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Anastasia Zakharova price. Teodora Kostovic fills are converted to the complementary Anastasia Zakharova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h44.95¢▼ below by 44.0pp
VWAP 7d44.95¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Anastasia Zakharova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.3K
65¢
$3.3K
60¢
$349
55¢
$1.6K
50¢
$58.7K
45¢
$37.6K
40¢
$3.7K
35¢
$3.3K
30¢
$1.3K
25¢
$10.7K
20¢
$3.9K
15¢
$22
10¢
$502
5¢
$1.5K
0¢
← now
$7.5K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeodora Kostovic$15.9K@ 51.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAnastasia Zakharova$15.3K@ 49.52¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAnastasia Zakharova$14.2K@ 51.66¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Anastasia Zakharova vs Teodora Kostovic
—$579priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zakharova vs. Kostovic: Match O/U 22.5
—$82priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Anastasia Zakharova vs. Teodora Kostovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zakharova vs. Kostovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zakharova vs. Kostovic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Teodora Kostovic (-1.5) vs Anastasia Zakharova (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zakharova vs. Kostovic: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Anastasia Zakharova (-1.5) vs Teodora Kostovic (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Teodora Kostovic$21.5K
BUY VWAP 49.91¢·2 fills
KkunnAnastasia Zakharova$21.3K
BUY VWAP 50.18¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesTeodora Kostovic$14.6K
BUY VWAP 70.20¢·13 fills
WoaifacaiAnastasia Zakharova$14.2K
BUY VWAP 51.66¢·1 fill
RN1Teodora Kostovic$12.0K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.