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Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $7.6KEvent: Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Ryuki Matsuda
—
Naoya Honda
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets11Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$266 trackedsource coverage 4%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 113 min agoofficial metadata 83 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Naoya Honda · $29 net·2 wallets·$174 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$33
tracked
$266

2 verified profitable wallets: Naoya Honda · $29 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 113 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 05:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Naoya Honda in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Naoya Honda. This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Ryuki Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ryuki Matsuda; negative values favor Naoya Honda. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRyuki Matsuda · $0
6hRyuki Matsuda · $33
24hRyuki Matsuda · $4

Ryuki Matsuda price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ryuki Matsuda price. Naoya Honda fills are converted to the complementary Ryuki Matsuda probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h9.53¢
VWAP 7d9.53¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ryuki Matsuda price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$30
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$3
5¢
$101
0¢
$131

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Set Handicap: Ryuki Matsuda (-1.5) vs Naoya Honda (+1.5)
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Matsuda vs. Honda: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
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Matsuda vs. Honda: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.