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European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor

● quote 286 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $637.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $462.4KEvent: European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor

Indicative prices · 286 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

1.0¢
Jan-Lennard Struff
99.9¢
Tallon Griekspoor
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets59Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:122 trades$197.7K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 292 min agoofficial metadata 289 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jan-Lennard Struff · $20.3K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$34.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTallon Griekspoor$23.1K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$7.6K
tracked
$197.7K

5 verified profitable wallets: Jan-Lennard Struff · $20.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 286 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 292 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 289 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 15:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Tallon Griekspoor in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Tallon Griekspoor. This market will resolve to 'Tallon Griekspoor' if Tallon Griekspoor advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xbf2b…fb882 linked markets · $2.3K gross
neutralwave233 linked markets · $154 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Jan-Lennard Struff DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $15.8K → $70 · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jan-Lennard Struff; negative values favor Tallon Griekspoor. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJan-Lennard Struff · $0
6hJan-Lennard Struff · $7.6K
24hJan-Lennard Struff · $42.0K

Jan-Lennard Struff price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jan-Lennard Struff price. Tallon Griekspoor fills are converted to the complementary Jan-Lennard Struff probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h39.52¢▼ below by 38.5pp
VWAP 7d39.52¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jan-Lennard Struff price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$20.5K
65¢
$41.5K
60¢
$1.5K
55¢
$4.4K
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$42.4K
40¢
$25.0K
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$2.2K
10¢
$0
5¢
$4.7K
0¢
← now
$53.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTallon Griekspoor$23.1K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYTallon Griekspoor$11.7K@ 96.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYTallon Griekspoor$15.5K@ 54.66¢0xe907…cff6🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$11.5K@ 45.99¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$10.5K@ 70.0¢
one8tyfive0xcf6c…7e66
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$13.5K@ 66.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYTallon Griekspoor$13.4K@ 58.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Struff vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 23.5
—$210priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Struff vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 22.5
—$20priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Tallon Griekspoor (-0.5) vs Jan-Lennard Struff (+0.5)
—$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Struff vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
81.5¢$3.2Mpriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
0.05¢$2.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
99.95¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe907…cff6Tallon Griekspoor$15.5K
BUY VWAP 54.66¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Jan-Lennard Struff$13.5K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
kkookkooTallon Griekspoor$13.4K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesTallon Griekspoor$12.4K
BUY VWAP 69.87¢·9 fills
999585Tallon Griekspoor$11.7K
BUY VWAP 96.0¢·1 fill
robustmstJan-Lennard Struff$11.5K
BUY VWAP 45.99¢·1 fill
one8tyfiveJan-Lennard Struff$10.5K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.