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Cali: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Valerio Aboian

● quote 89 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $77.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $155.7KEvent: Cali: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Valerio Aboian

Indicative prices · 89 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
1.7¢
Valerio Aboian
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets88Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution26Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:58 trades$58.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 107 min agoofficial metadata 87 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · $18.9K net·9 wallets·$21.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida$10.4K@ 100¢·austr

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$27.1K
tracked
$58.4K

9 verified profitable wallets: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · $18.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 89 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 107 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 87 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Valerio Aboian in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida' if Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $45.2K → $26.4K · 27s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida; negative values favor Valerio Aboian. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida · $0
6hMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida · $27.1K
24hMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida · $27.1K

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida price VWAP

Volume-weighted Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida price. Valerio Aboian fills are converted to the complementary Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h92.28¢▲ above by 7.6pp
VWAP 7d92.28¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$34.0K
90¢
$8.8K
85¢
$5.7K
80¢
$1.1K
75¢
$6.2K
70¢
$2.5K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida$10.4K@ 99.9¢
austr0x1245…e0af
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida$10.0K@ 96.0¢
austr0x1245…e0af
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida (-1.5) vs Valerio Aboian (+1.5)
—$414priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida (-4.5) vs Valerio Aboian (+4.5)
—$42priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almeida vs. Aboian: Match O/U 21.5
—$30priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almeida vs. Aboian: Match O/U 23.5
—$14priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almeida vs. Aboian: Match O/U 22.5
—$11priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almeida vs. Aboian: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almeida vs. Aboian: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Valerio Aboian
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida$11.4K
BUY VWAP 92.60¢·9 fills
austrMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida$10.0K
BUY VWAP 96.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.