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76ers vs. Hornets

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $141.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $619.4KEvent: 76ers vs. Hornets

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

51.5¢
76ers
48.5¢
Hornets
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets50Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:140 trades$240.1K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:76ers · $28.5K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$56.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHornets$34.0K@ 48¢·Wal1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW 76ers SETUP
What the tape says

76ers pressure: $25.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$25.5K
6h
−$23.8K
tracked
$240.1K

6 verified profitable wallets: 76ers · $28.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 58

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from 76ers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers".

•If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 31 at 6:00PM ET: If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Wal14 linked markets · $74.7K gross
ropetard4 linked markets · $38.1K gross
ferrariChampions20264 linked markets · $33.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Hornets@ 50.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY 76ers@ 51.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Hornets@ 50.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: Hornets DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $756 → $21.7K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 76ers; negative values favor Hornets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h76ers · $25.5K
6hHornets · $23.8K
24hHornets · $11.6K

76ers price VWAP

Volume-weighted 76ers price. Hornets fills are converted to the complementary 76ers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h51.68¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d51.69¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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76ers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$140
50¢
← now
$228.9K
45¢
$11.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLHornets$15.7K@ 48.0¢
Wal10xa5aa…9134
🐋—24 minutes ago
SELL76ers$13.8K@ 50.0¢
bwgringo0x54ce…9f80
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUY76ers$21.9K@ 51.46¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHornets$11.8K@ 49.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHornets$34.0K@ 47.73¢
Wal10xa5aa…9134
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
44.5¢$143.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
47.0¢$111.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
43.5¢$35.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
47.5¢$20.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5
44.5¢$15.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)
40.5¢$14.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 213.5
—$2.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 219.5
—$2.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Wal1Hornets$39.4K
BUY VWAP 47.77¢·2 fills
0x2c33…056376ers$28.9K
BUY VWAP 51.10¢·2 fills
purplegattoHornets$25.1K
BUY VWAP 48.96¢·10 fills
quavooHornets$13.1K
BUY VWAP 48.88¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.