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Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin

Sports→TennisCloses: 8 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $148Event: Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Kaitlin Quevedo
—
Sofia Kenin
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:2 trades$1.2K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 224 min agoofficial metadata 1039 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKaitlin Quevedo$1.1K@ 53¢·0000.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$10
tracked
$1.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kaitlin Quevedo and Sofia Kenin in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaitlin Quevedo' if Kaitlin Quevedo advances against Sofia Kenin. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Kenin' if Sofia Kenin advances against Kaitlin Quevedo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kaitlin Quevedo; negative values favor Sofia Kenin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaitlin Quevedo · $0
6hSofia Kenin · $10
24hKaitlin Quevedo · $1.1K

Kaitlin Quevedo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kaitlin Quevedo price. Sofia Kenin fills are converted to the complementary Kaitlin Quevedo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h52.86¢
VWAP 7d52.86¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kaitlin Quevedo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Kaitlin Quevedo (-1.5) vs Sofia Kenin (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Quevedo vs. Kenin: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
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Quevedo vs. Kenin: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
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Quevedo vs. Kenin: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Quevedo vs. Kenin: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Quevedo vs. Kenin: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Quevedo vs. Kenin: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Quevedo vs. Kenin: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.