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Sioux Falls: Braden Shick vs Max Hans Rehberg

Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $3.2KEvent: Sioux Falls: Braden Shick vs Max Hans Rehberg

Polymarket indicative prices · 4 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

41.5¢
YES
58.5¢
Max Hans Rehberg
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%
24h sample:4 trades$1.0K trackedsource coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 184 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMax Hans Rehberg$1.0K@ 59¢·0xbc43…96d3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$1.0K
tracked
$1.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 184 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Braden Shick and Max Hans Rehberg in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Braden Shick' if Braden Shick advances against Max Hans Rehberg. This market will resolve to 'Max Hans Rehberg' if Max Hans Rehberg advances against Braden Shick. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor Max Hans Rehberg. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hMax Hans Rehberg · $1.0K
24hMax Hans Rehberg · $1.0K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. Max Hans Rehberg fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h40.99¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d40.99¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$1.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Shick vs. Rehberg: Match O/U 21.5
55.0¢$31priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shick vs. Rehberg: Match O/U 22.5
47.0¢$20priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shick vs. Rehberg: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Braden Shick vs Max Hans Rehberg
44.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shick vs. Rehberg: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shick vs. Rehberg: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
29.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Braden Shick vs. Max Hans Rehberg: Total Sets O/U 2.5
37.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shick vs. Rehberg: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
78.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.