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Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone

Sports→TennisCloses: 8 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $422Event: Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Valentin Vacherot
—
NO
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%
24h sample:2 trades$50 trackedsource coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 94 min agoofficial metadata 719 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$20
tracked
$50

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Mariano Navone in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Valentin Vacherot; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hValentin Vacherot · $0
6hValentin Vacherot · $20
24hValentin Vacherot · $50

Valentin Vacherot price VWAP

Volume-weighted Valentin Vacherot price. NO fills are converted to the complementary Valentin Vacherot probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h64.0¢
VWAP 7d64.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Valentin Vacherot price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$50
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Vacherot vs. Navone: Match O/U 22.5
—$243priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Valentin Vacherot (-1.5) vs Mariano Navone (+1.5)
—$37priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valentin Vacherot vs. Mariano Navone: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Valentin Vacherot (-2.5) vs Mariano Navone (+2.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Vacherot vs. Navone: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Vacherot vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Vacherot vs. Navone: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.