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Guayaquil: Alan Magadan vs Mario Andre Galarraga

● quote 108 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $35.2KEvent: Guayaquil: Alan Magadan vs Mario Andre Galarraga

Indicative prices · 108 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Alan Magadan
—
Mario Andre Galarraga
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:11 trades$9.1K trackedsource coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 139 min agoofficial metadata 120 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alan Magadan · $77 net·3 wallets·$958 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlan Magadan$7.9K@ 97¢·UpTheBlues

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$8.2K
tracked
$9.1K

3 verified profitable wallets: Alan Magadan · $77 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote is 108 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 139 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alan Magadan and Mario Andre Galarraga in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Mario Andre Galarraga. This market will resolve to 'Mario Andre Galarraga' if Mario Andre Galarraga advances against Alan Magadan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alan Magadan; negative values favor Mario Andre Galarraga. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlan Magadan · $0
6hAlan Magadan · $8.2K
24hAlan Magadan · $8.2K

Alan Magadan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alan Magadan price. Mario Andre Galarraga fills are converted to the complementary Alan Magadan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h96.87¢
VWAP 7d96.87¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alan Magadan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$9.1K
90¢
$50
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Magadan vs. Galarraga: Match O/U 22.5
—$68priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Alan Magadan (-1.5) vs Mario Andre Galarraga (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magadan vs. Galarraga: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magadan vs. Galarraga: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magadan vs. Galarraga: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Alan Magadan vs Mario Andre Galarraga
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magadan vs. Galarraga: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alan Magadan vs. Mario Andre Galarraga: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.