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Set Handicap: Darwin Blanch (-1.5) vs Sebastian Gorzny (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $4.4KEvent: Sioux Falls: Sebastian Gorzny vs Darwin Blanch

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Darwin Blanch
—
Sebastian Gorzny
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%
24h sample:3 trades$220 trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 157 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$220
tracked
$220

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 3 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Darwin Blanch" if Darwin Blanch wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Gorzny, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sebastian Gorzny."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Darwin Blanch can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Sebastian Gorzny."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Darwin Blanch and Sebastian Gorzny in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Darwin Blanch" if Darwin Blanch wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Gorzny, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sebastian Gorzny." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Darwin Blanch can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Sebastian Gorzny." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Darwin Blanch; negative values favor Sebastian Gorzny. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDarwin Blanch · $0
6hSebastian Gorzny · $220
24hSebastian Gorzny · $220

Darwin Blanch price VWAP

Volume-weighted Darwin Blanch price. Sebastian Gorzny fills are converted to the complementary Darwin Blanch probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h40.35¢
VWAP 7d40.35¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Darwin Blanch price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$220
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Gorzny vs. Blanch: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.