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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

● quote 10s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 20 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $16.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Indicative prices · 10s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

32.5¢
Liquid
67.5¢
Legacy
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection95Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$7.1K trackedsource coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 33 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Liquid · $114 net·2 wallets·$114 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLegacy$6.8K@ 68¢·TrippleEX

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Legacy pressure: $6.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.8K
6h
−$6.9K
tracked
$7.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: Liquid · $114 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 33 minutes old.
  • •Less than 20h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Legacy or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against Legacy.

•This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against Liquid.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Liquid and Legacy in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against Legacy. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Liquid; negative values favor Legacy. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLegacy · $6.8K
6hLegacy · $6.9K
24hLegacy · $6.9K

Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Liquid price. Legacy fills are converted to the complementary Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current32.5¢
VWAP 24h32.07¢▲ above by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d32.07¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$7.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.