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Courmayeur: Jessica Pieri vs Elizara Yaneva

● quote 302 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $54.1KEvent: Courmayeur: Jessica Pieri vs Elizara Yaneva

Indicative prices · 302 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

1.3¢
Jessica Pieri
99.9¢
Elizara Yaneva
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:22 trades$18.5K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 349 min agoofficial metadata 307 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elizara Yaneva · $469 net·2 wallets·$469 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElizara Yaneva$7.5K@ 97¢·UpTheBlues

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$18.0K
tracked
$18.5K

2 verified profitable wallets: Elizara Yaneva · $469 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 302 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 349 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pieri and Elizara Yaneva in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pieri' if Jessica Pieri advances against Elizara Yaneva. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Jessica Pieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Jessica Pieri DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $3.9K → $4.2K · 33s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jessica Pieri; negative values favor Elizara Yaneva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJessica Pieri · $0
6hElizara Yaneva · $18.0K
24hElizara Yaneva · $18.4K

Jessica Pieri price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jessica Pieri price. Elizara Yaneva fills are converted to the complementary Jessica Pieri probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.3¢
VWAP 24h3.39¢▼ below by 2.1pp
VWAP 7d10.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jessica Pieri price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$10.2K
15¢
$8
10¢
$0
5¢
$105
0¢
← now
$18.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Elizara Yaneva (-1.5) vs Jessica Pieri (+1.5)
—$195priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pieri vs. Yaneva: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jessica Pieri vs. Elizara Yaneva: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pieri vs. Yaneva: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Jessica Pieri vs Elizara Yaneva
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pieri vs. Yaneva: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pieri vs. Yaneva: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pieri vs. Yaneva: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesElizara Yaneva$17.9K
BUY VWAP 96.66¢·4 fills
FeedTheBigBirdElizara Yaneva$10.2K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.