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Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Lorenzo Claverie

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $75.0KEvent: Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Lorenzo Claverie

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

10.5¢
Ryan Nijboer
89.5¢
Lorenzo Claverie
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:15 trades$32.1K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lorenzo Claverie · $56 net·2 wallets·$56 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLRyan Nijboer$15.2K@ 51¢·0x8699…7bb2

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Lorenzo Claverie pressure: $10.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$10.5K
6h
−$8.8K
tracked
$32.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: Lorenzo Claverie · $56 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 54

Since latest market sweep: +42.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable SELL price moved 42.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Lorenzo Claverie or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Nijboer and Lorenzo Claverie in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Nijboer' if Ryan Nijboer advances against Lorenzo Claverie. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Claverie' if Lorenzo Claverie advances against Ryan Nijboer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Ryan Nijboer25m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPSELL Ryan Nijboer@ 52.0¢49m ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp
Latest book event: Lorenzo Claverie UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $41.0K → $69.3K · 43s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ryan Nijboer; negative values favor Lorenzo Claverie. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLorenzo Claverie · $10.5K
6hLorenzo Claverie · $8.8K
24hLorenzo Claverie · $8.8K

Ryan Nijboer price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ryan Nijboer price. Lorenzo Claverie fills are converted to the complementary Ryan Nijboer probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current10.5¢
VWAP 24h56.71¢▼ below by 46.2pp
VWAP 7d56.71¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ryan Nijboer price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$6
70¢
$5.1K
65¢
$6.7K
60¢
$1.8K
55¢
$8
50¢
$15.2K
45¢
$15
40¢
$17
35¢
$0
30¢
$3.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLRyan Nijboer$15.2K@ 50.55¢0x8699…7bb2🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Ryan Nijboer (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Claverie (+1.5)
0.45¢$672priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nijboer vs. Claverie: Match O/U 21.5
48.0¢$205priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nijboer vs. Claverie: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nijboer vs. Claverie: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Ryan Nijboer vs Lorenzo Claverie
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Lorenzo Claverie (-1.5) vs Ryan Nijboer (+1.5)
57.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Ryan Nijboer vs Lorenzo Claverie
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nijboer vs. Claverie: Match O/U 22.5
42.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.