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Guayaquil: Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick

Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $4.3KEvent: Guayaquil: Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Alan Magadan
—
Tristan McCormick
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Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3 trades$27 trackedsource coverage 1%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 787 min agoofficial metadata 452 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tristan McCormick · $116 net·3 wallets·$116 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$27

3 verified profitable wallets: Tristan McCormick · $116 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 1%.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 16:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alan Magadan and Tristan McCormick in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Tristan McCormick. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Alan Magadan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alan Magadan; negative values favor Tristan McCormick. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlan Magadan · $0
6hAlan Magadan · $0
24hAlan Magadan · $27

Alan Magadan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alan Magadan price. Tristan McCormick fills are converted to the complementary Alan Magadan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h44.71¢
VWAP 7d51.14¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alan Magadan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$21
50¢
$228
45¢
$50
40¢
$8
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Magadan vs. McCormick: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magadan vs. McCormick: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magadan vs. McCormick: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alan Magadan vs. Tristan McCormick: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Alan Magadan (-1.5) vs Tristan McCormick (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magadan vs. McCormick: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.