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Clippers vs. Warriors

● quote 16s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $252.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $114.1KEvent: Clippers vs. Warriors

Indicative prices · 16s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

44.5¢
Clippers
55.5¢
Warriors
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:111 trades$46.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 55s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYClippers$15.2K@ 46¢·0xf559…f462

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Warriors pressure: $3.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.4K
6h
+$3.1K
tracked
$46.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: Warriors · $15 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Warriors or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 01:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to "Clippers".

•If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 1 at 8:30PM ET: If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to "Clippers". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf559…f4622 linked markets · $21.7K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $14.7K gross
quavoo4 linked markets · $6.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Clippers@ 47.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Clippers; negative values favor Warriors. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWarriors · $3.4K
6hClippers · $3.1K
24hClippers · $10.7K

Clippers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Clippers price. Warriors fills are converted to the complementary Clippers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h45.81¢▼ below by 1.3pp
VWAP 7d45.81¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Clippers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.8K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$35.9K
40¢
← now
$8.6K
35¢
$421
30¢
$0
25¢
$114
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYClippers$15.2K@ 46.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
48.5¢$53.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5
53.5¢$31.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5
51.5¢$20.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5
55.5¢$17.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5
46.0¢$11.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)
—$5.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
—$561priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 210.5
—$268priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf559…f462Clippers$15.2K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.