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Raptors vs. Lakers

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $495.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $214.1KEvent: Raptors vs. Lakers

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

41.5¢
Raptors
58.5¢
Lakers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly7Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets64Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:55 trades$93.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Raptors · $1.8K net·2 wallets·$1.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLakers$47.2K@ 59¢·0xc8ad…83dc

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$102
6h
−$69.2K
tracked
$93.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: Raptors · $1.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors".

•If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 1 at 9:00PM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $46.4K gross
HomeRunHazard9 linked markets · $25.6K gross
maz262 linked markets · $12.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Lakers@ 59.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Lakers@ 59.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Lakers@ 58.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Raptors; negative values favor Lakers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLakers · $102
6hLakers · $69.2K
24hLakers · $80.5K

Raptors price VWAP

Volume-weighted Raptors price. Lakers fills are converted to the complementary Raptors probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h41.28¢▲ above by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d40.89¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Raptors price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$87.0K
35¢
$12.6K
30¢
$5
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLakers$47.2K@ 59.0¢0xc8ad…83dc🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYLakers$16.9K@ 58.14¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
53.5¢$138.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
48.5¢$52.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5
49.5¢$40.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5
46.5¢$39.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5
41.5¢$24.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)
44.5¢$17.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
56.5¢$9.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5
44.5¢$7.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xc8ad…83dcLakers$49.0K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·2 fills
0xf559…f462Lakers$20.0K
BUY VWAP 58.27¢·2 fills
Terry.CHENLakers$15.9K
BUY VWAP 57.49¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.