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Spread: Miami (OH) (-6.5)

● quote 189 min ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 23 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $431Event: Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)

Indicative prices · 189 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

51.0¢
Miami (OH)
49.0¢
Buffalo
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%
24h sample:1 trades$211 trackedsource coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 684 min agoofficial metadata 750 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$211

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 189 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 684 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 750 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Miami (OH)" if Miami (OH) win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Buffalo".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for November 3 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami (OH)" if Miami (OH) win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Buffalo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miami (OH); negative values favor Buffalo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami (OH) · $0
6hMiami (OH) · $0
24hMiami (OH) · $211

Miami (OH) price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miami (OH) price. Buffalo fills are converted to the complementary Miami (OH) probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.0¢
VWAP 24h52.0¢▼ below by 1.0pp
VWAP 7d52.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miami (OH) price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$211
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH): O/U 45.5
47.0¢$298priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)
—$159priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Miami (OH) (-8.5)
41.0¢$14priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Miami (OH) (-4.5)
—$13priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Buffalo vs. Miami (OH): O/U 61.5
14.5¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Buffalo (-7.5)
13.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Buffalo vs. Miami (OH): O/U 73.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Miami (OH) (-5.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.