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Spread: Oklahoma State (-5.5)

● quote 20 min ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $7.8KEvent: Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State

Indicative prices · 20 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

56.5¢
Oklahoma State
43.5¢
Kansas State
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection24Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 82%
24h sample:4 trades$5.3K trackedsource coverage 68%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOklahoma State$4.0K@ 56¢·mooseborzoi

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Oklahoma State pressure: $1.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.3K
6h
+$5.3K
tracked
$5.3K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 82% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 20 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Oklahoma State or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Oklahoma State" if Oklahoma State win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kansas State".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oklahoma State" if Oklahoma State win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kansas State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi7 linked markets · $64.8K gross
Multicoloured-Serf4 linked markets · $13.0K gross
quavoo6 linked markets · $8.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Oklahoma State; negative values favor Kansas State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOklahoma State · $1.3K
6hOklahoma State · $5.3K
24hOklahoma State · $5.3K

Oklahoma State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Oklahoma State price. Kansas State fills are converted to the complementary Oklahoma State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current56.5¢
VWAP 24h56.23¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d56.23¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Oklahoma State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$5.3K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Oklahoma State (-7.5)
46.5¢$60.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Oklahoma State (-6.5)
53.5¢$43.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State: O/U 63.5
50.5¢$30.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State
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Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State: O/U 61.5
55.5¢$22.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Oklahoma State (-3.5)
60.5¢$103priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Kansas State (-0.5)
30.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Oklahoma State (-4.5)
58.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.