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Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee

● quote 20s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 18 hoursLiquidity: $153.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $211.9KEvent: Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee

Indicative prices · 20s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

55.5¢
Western Kentucky
44.5¢
Middle Tennessee
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:31 trades$93.2K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 191 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Western Kentucky · $1.3K net·2 wallets·$1.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWestern Kentucky$17.9K@ 56¢·bbbetk

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$2.8K
tracked
$93.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: Western Kentucky · $1.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 191 minutes old.
  • •Less than 18h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Western Kentucky" if Western Kentucky win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Middle Tennessee" if Middle Tennessee win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee, scheduled for November 7 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Western Kentucky" if Western Kentucky win the game. This market will resolve to "Middle Tennessee" if Middle Tennessee win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Western Kentucky@ 58.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Western Kentucky@ 57.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Western Kentucky; negative values favor Middle Tennessee. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWestern Kentucky · $0
6hWestern Kentucky · $2.8K
24hWestern Kentucky · $27.5K

Western Kentucky price VWAP

Volume-weighted Western Kentucky price. Middle Tennessee fills are converted to the complementary Western Kentucky probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current55.5¢
VWAP 24h56.79¢▼ below by 1.3pp
VWAP 7d56.56¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Western Kentucky price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$93.2K
50¢
$8.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYWestern Kentucky$10.0K@ 58.0¢0x4905…0a76🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYWestern Kentucky$13.2K@ 57.0¢
bbbetk0x7c9c…91e9
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYWestern Kentucky$17.9K@ 56.0¢
bbbetk0x7c9c…91e9
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYWestern Kentucky$10.3K@ 55.0¢
bbbetk0x7c9c…91e9
🐋—about 13 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Western Kentucky (-4.5)
42.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Western Kentucky (-10.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Western Kentucky (-13.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Western Kentucky (-8.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Western Kentucky (-20.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Western Kentucky (-17.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Western Kentucky (-14.5)
18.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Western Kentucky (-3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

bbbetkWestern Kentucky$51.1K
BUY VWAP 55.77¢·6 fills
quavooMiddle Tennessee$16.2K
BUY VWAP 42.54¢·11 fills
0x4905…0a76Western Kentucky$16.1K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.