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Montana State vs. Idaho State

Sports→American FootballCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Montana State vs. Idaho State

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Montana State
—
Idaho State
—
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:1 trades$1 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 1865 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$1
6h
−$1
tracked
$1

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Montana State" if Montana State win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Idaho State" if Idaho State win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Montana State and Idaho State, scheduled for November 7 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Montana State" if Montana State win the game. This market will resolve to "Idaho State" if Idaho State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Montana State; negative values favor Idaho State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIdaho State · $1
6hIdaho State · $1
24hIdaho State · $1

Montana State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Montana State price. Idaho State fills are converted to the complementary Montana State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h83.0¢
VWAP 7d83.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Montana State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Montana State (-5.5)
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Spread: Montana State (-1.5)
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Spread: Montana State (-14.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Montana State vs. Idaho State: O/U 53.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Montana State (-7.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Montana State (-10.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Montana State vs. Idaho State: O/U 57.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Idaho State (-1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.