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Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame

Sports→American FootballCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.6KEvent: Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame

Polymarket indicative prices · 11 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

28.5¢
Miami (FL)
71.5¢
Notre Dame
—
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1 trades$1.4K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Notre Dame · $8.1K net·2 wallets·$11.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNotre Dame$4.4K@ 67¢·0xb4f9…c9a7

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Miami (FL) pressure: $1.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.4K
6h
+$1.4K
tracked
$1.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: Notre Dame · $8.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 49 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Miami (FL) or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Miami (FL) and Notre Dame, scheduled for November 7 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game. This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $3.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miami (FL); negative values favor Notre Dame. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami (FL) · $1.4K
6hMiami (FL) · $1.4K
24hMiami (FL) · $1.4K

Miami (FL) price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miami (FL) price. Notre Dame fills are converted to the complementary Miami (FL) probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current28.5¢
VWAP 24h29.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d32.37¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miami (FL) price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$11.9K
25¢
← now
$1.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Notre Dame (-7.5)
48.5¢$11.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Miami (FL) (-2.5)
—$3.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5)
—$572priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Notre Dame (-5.5)
—$246priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Notre Dame (-3.5)
—$88priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Notre Dame (-1.5)
—$25priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame: O/U 54.5
—$9priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5)
—$7priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.