PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Fresno State vs. Utah State

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $41.9KEvent: Fresno State vs. Utah State

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

50.5¢
Fresno State
49.5¢
Utah State
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%
24h sample:4 trades$18.1K tracked25% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 280 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUtah State$16.4K@ 50¢·FeedTheBigBird

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.2K
tracked
$18.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 280 minutes old.
  • •Less than 8h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 02:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Utah State" if Utah State win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and Utah State, scheduled for November 7 at 9:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game. This market will resolve to "Utah State" if Utah State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
FeedTheBigBird2 linked markets · $42.3K gross
mooseborzoi4 linked markets · $7.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Utah State@ 51.0¢13h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Fresno State; negative values favor Utah State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFresno State · $0
6hFresno State · $1.2K
24hUtah State · $15.4K

Fresno State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Fresno State price. Utah State fills are converted to the complementary Fresno State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h50.05¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d50.05¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Fresno State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$17.7K
45¢
$385
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUtah State$16.4K@ 49.92¢
FeedTheBigBird0x84ec…72c1
🐋—about 13 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Fresno State (-1.5)
47.5¢$63.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fresno State vs. Utah State: O/U 39.5
61.5¢$8.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Fresno State (-3.5)
39.5¢$385priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Fresno State (-2.5)
45.5¢$113priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fresno State vs. Utah State: O/U 43.5
49.5¢$95priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Fresno State (-13.5)
17.5¢$25priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Fresno State (-7.5)
28.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Utah State (-4.5)
34.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FeedTheBigBirdUtah State$16.4K
BUY VWAP 49.92¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.