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Western Carolina Catamounts vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Sports→BasketballCloses: 14 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $736Event: Western Carolina Catamounts vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Polymarket indicative prices · 6 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

1.05¢
Western Carolina Catamounts
98.95¢
North Carolina Tar Heels
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%
24h sample:1 trades$3 trackedsource coverage 0%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 430 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$3

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 0%.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Western Carolina Catamounts win, the market will resolve to "Western Carolina Catamounts".

•If the North Carolina Tar Heels win, the market will resolve to "North Carolina Tar Heels".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NCAA Men's Basketball game, scheduled for November 2 at 7:00PM ET: If the Western Carolina Catamounts win, the market will resolve to "Western Carolina Catamounts". If the North Carolina Tar Heels win, the market will resolve to "North Carolina Tar Heels". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Western Carolina Catamounts; negative values favor North Carolina Tar Heels. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWestern Carolina Catamounts · $0
6hWestern Carolina Catamounts · $0
24hWestern Carolina Catamounts · $3

Western Carolina Catamounts price VWAP

Volume-weighted Western Carolina Catamounts price. North Carolina Tar Heels fills are converted to the complementary Western Carolina Catamounts probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.05¢
VWAP 24h2.9¢▼ below by 1.9pp
VWAP 7d2.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Western Carolina Catamounts price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$3

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.