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Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 16 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $12.9KEvent: Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins

Polymarket indicative prices · 6 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

48.0¢
Paine Lions
52.0¢
Jacksonville Dolphins
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:10 trades$5.0K trackedsource coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 280 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jacksonville Dolphins · $2.7K net·2 wallets·$2.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJacksonville Dolphins$2.3K@ 70¢·omoi0i0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$368
tracked
$5.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: Jacksonville Dolphins · $2.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 280 minutes old.
  • •Less than 16h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Paine Lions win, the market will resolve to "Paine Lions".

•If the Jacksonville Dolphins win, the market will resolve to "Jacksonville Dolphins".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NCAA Men's Basketball game, scheduled for November 2 at 7:00PM ET: If the Paine Lions win, the market will resolve to "Paine Lions". If the Jacksonville Dolphins win, the market will resolve to "Jacksonville Dolphins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Paine Lions; negative values favor Jacksonville Dolphins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPaine Lions · $0
6hJacksonville Dolphins · $368
24hJacksonville Dolphins · $4.8K

Paine Lions price VWAP

Volume-weighted Paine Lions price. Jacksonville Dolphins fills are converted to the complementary Paine Lions probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.0¢
VWAP 24h32.22¢▲ above by 15.8pp
VWAP 7d24.26¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Paine Lions price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.2K
45¢
← now
$433
40¢
$21
35¢
$23
30¢
$4.5K
25¢
$3.0K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$2.6K
0¢
$2.0K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.