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Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BaseballCloses: 18 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $45.9KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

38.5¢
Milwaukee Brewers
61.5¢
Tampa Bay Rays
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection45Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 93%
24h sample:8 trades$26.6K trackedsource coverage 73%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 33s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMilwaukee Brewers$9.0K@ 42¢·stringXX

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Tampa Bay Rays pressure: $11.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.9K
6h
−$12.3K
tracked
$26.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 93% · priority 50

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Tampa Bay Rays or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 27 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $27.6K gross
0x713d…3efc2 linked markets · $15.3K gross
glennyorkshire2 linked markets · $8.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Milwaukee Brewers; negative values favor Tampa Bay Rays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTampa Bay Rays · $11.9K
6hTampa Bay Rays · $12.3K
24hTampa Bay Rays · $1.8K

Milwaukee Brewers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Milwaukee Brewers price. Tampa Bay Rays fills are converted to the complementary Milwaukee Brewers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h40.1¢▼ below by 1.6pp
VWAP 7d40.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Milwaukee Brewers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$12.4K
35¢
← now
$14.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x713d…3efcTampa Bay Rays$12.0K
BUY VWAP 61.34¢·2 fills
stringXXMilwaukee Brewers$10.5K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.