PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jay Dylan Friend

● quote 168 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $113.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $72.5KEvent: Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jay Dylan Friend

Indicative prices · 168 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Sho Shimabukuro
1.0¢
Jay Dylan Friend
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:35 trades$11.0K trackedsource coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 178 min agoofficial metadata 170 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jay Dylan Friend · $1.5K net·2 wallets·$1.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSho Shimabukuro$1.6K@ 77¢·UpTheBlues

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$7.0K
tracked
$11.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: Jay Dylan Friend · $1.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 168 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 178 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 170 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Jay Dylan Friend in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Jay Dylan Friend. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Jay Dylan Friend advances against Sho Shimabukuro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Sho Shimabukuro UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $44.1K → $16.6K · 64s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sho Shimabukuro; negative values favor Jay Dylan Friend. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSho Shimabukuro · $0
6hJay Dylan Friend · $7.0K
24hJay Dylan Friend · $7.0K

Sho Shimabukuro price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sho Shimabukuro price. Jay Dylan Friend fills are converted to the complementary Sho Shimabukuro probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h67.54¢▲ above by 32.4pp
VWAP 7d67.54¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Sho Shimabukuro price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.3K
90¢
$130
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.6K
70¢
$26
65¢
$2.7K
60¢
$3.0K
55¢
$5
50¢
$13
45¢
$2.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Shimabukuro vs. Friend: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
69.5¢$1.0Mpriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens
—$945.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune
—$761.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.15¢$414.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.15¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.05¢$275.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Seoul: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Coleman Wong
—$273.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.