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Besiktas vs. Cayirova

● quote 2 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $75.3KEvent: Besiktas vs. Cayirova

Indicative prices · 2 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Besiktas
0.05¢
Cayirova
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection34Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$6.7K trackedsource coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Besiktas · $855 net·2 wallets·$5.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCayirova$2.4K@ 4¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Besiktas pressure: $2.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.3K
6h
+$35
tracked
$6.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: Besiktas · $855 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Besiktas or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.tbl.org.tr/
Outcome meaning

•If the Besiktas win, the market will resolve to "Besiktas".

•If the Cayirova win, the market will resolve to "Cayirova".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Turkey BSL game, scheduled for November 2 at 12:30PM ET: If the Besiktas win, the market will resolve to "Besiktas". If the Cayirova win, the market will resolve to "Cayirova". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Besiktas; negative values favor Cayirova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBesiktas · $2.3K
6hBesiktas · $35
24hBesiktas · $35

Besiktas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Besiktas price. Cayirova fills are converted to the complementary Besiktas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h98.19¢▲ above by 1.8pp
VWAP 7d98.19¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Besiktas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.7K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.