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Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $685.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $917.7KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Jil Teichmann
0.05¢
Zeynep Sonmez
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets43Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:237 trades$415.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Zeynep Sonmez · $93.8K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$220.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJil Teichmann$52.9K@ 100¢·robustmst

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Zeynep Sonmez pressure: $96.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$96.8K
6h
−$149.5K
tracked
$415.7K

10 verified profitable wallets: Zeynep Sonmez · $93.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: -47.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Zeynep Sonmez or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jil Teichmann and Zeynep Sonmez in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jil Teichmann' if Jil Teichmann advances against Zeynep Sonmez. This market will resolve to 'Zeynep Sonmez' if Zeynep Sonmez advances against Jil Teichmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3a43…5c882 linked markets · $14 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Zeynep Sonmez@ 48.0¢52m ago
15m INVALIDATED -34.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Zeynep Sonmez@ 74.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -42.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Jil Teichmann@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -39.0pp1h INVALIDATED -9.0pp
Latest book event: Zeynep Sonmez DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $6.5K → $6.6K · 20s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jil Teichmann; negative values favor Zeynep Sonmez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hZeynep Sonmez · $96.8K
6hZeynep Sonmez · $149.5K
24hZeynep Sonmez · $149.3K

Jil Teichmann price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jil Teichmann price. Zeynep Sonmez fills are converted to the complementary Jil Teichmann probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h50.48¢▲ above by 49.5pp
VWAP 7d50.46¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jil Teichmann price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$83.2K
90¢
$1.9K
85¢
$6.4K
80¢
$1.8K
75¢
$1.1K
70¢
$30.4K
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.9K
55¢
$3.9K
50¢
$16.6K
45¢
$33.2K
40¢
$29.3K
35¢
$32.4K
30¢
$62.8K
25¢
$63.8K
20¢
$1.8K
15¢
$10.2K
10¢
$34.4K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJil Teichmann$52.9K@ 99.9¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYZeynep Sonmez$10.6K@ 30.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYZeynep Sonmez$37.0K@ 67.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYZeynep Sonmez$10.6K@ 69.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYZeynep Sonmez$27.8K@ 74.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYZeynep Sonmez$16.6K@ 71.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLZeynep Sonmez$13.0K@ 85.75¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJil Teichmann$10.1K@ 46.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Zeynep Sonmez$131.1K
BUY VWAP 60.37¢·12 fills
0x1610…ae49Jil Teichmann$46.3K
BUY VWAP 26.40¢·15 fills
robustmstJil Teichmann$24.5K
BUY VWAP 46.34¢·6 fills
UpTheBluesZeynep Sonmez$15.4K
BUY VWAP 78.62¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.