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Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)

● quote 14s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 10 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $10.1KEvent: Jaguars vs. Titans

Indicative prices · 14s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

50.5¢
Jaguars
49.5¢
Titans
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection46Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$7.4K trackedsource coverage 74%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 757 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJaguars$4.8K@ 51¢·mooseborzoi

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Jaguars SETUP
What the tape says

Jaguars pressure: $3.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.4K
6h
+$3.4K
tracked
$7.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: Titans · $2.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 58

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Official market metadata is 757 minutes old.
  • •Less than 10h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jaguars or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if the Jaguars win the game by 11 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Titans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Jaguars and Titans, scheduled for November 15 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if the Jaguars win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Titans". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $6.5K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $1.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jaguars; negative values favor Titans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJaguars · $3.4K
6hJaguars · $3.4K
24hJaguars · $3.4K

Jaguars price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jaguars price. Titans fills are converted to the complementary Jaguars probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h50.73¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d50.37¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jaguars price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$16.0K
45¢
$2.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.