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Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $26.2KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

71.5¢
Lilli Tagger
28.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection90Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$17.7K trackedsource coverage 68%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 41 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLilli Tagger$6.5K@ 72¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Lilli Tagger pressure: $16.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$16.0K
6h
+$16.1K
tracked
$17.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Lilli Tagger · $16.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 41 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Lilli Tagger or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Magda Linette in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Magda Linette. This market will resolve to 'Magda Linette' if Magda Linette advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Lilli Tagger@ 72.0¢21m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lilli Tagger; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLilli Tagger · $16.0K
6hLilli Tagger · $16.1K
24hLilli Tagger · $17.7K

Lilli Tagger price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lilli Tagger price. NO fills are converted to the complementary Lilli Tagger probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current71.5¢
VWAP 24h71.59¢▼ below by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d71.59¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lilli Tagger price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$17.7K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Lilli Tagger (-3.5) vs Magda Linette (+3.5)
—$9priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Lilli Tagger (-1.5) vs Magda Linette (+1.5)
—$2priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Linette: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Linette: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Linette: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Linette: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Linette: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lilli Tagger vs. Magda Linette: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Lilli Tagger$16.0K
BUY VWAP 71.65¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.