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Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.0KEvent: Knicks vs. Bulls

Polymarket indicative prices · 1 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

49.5¢
Knicks
50.5¢
Bulls
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets17Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:16 trades$1.8K trackedsource coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 160 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Knicks · $51 net·3 wallets·$311 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$306
tracked
$1.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Knicks · $51 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 160 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 8 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bulls". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Bulls".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bulls". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Bulls". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard5 linked markets · $10.2K gross
mooseborzoii2 linked markets · $4.8K gross
BullishBarb2 linked markets · $4.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Knicks; negative values favor Bulls. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKnicks · $0
6hBulls · $306
24hBulls · $239

Knicks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Knicks price. Bulls fills are converted to the complementary Knicks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h47.6¢▲ above by 1.9pp
VWAP 7d47.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Knicks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$5
45¢
← now
$1.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Knicks vs. Bulls
72.5¢$186.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5
46.5¢$22.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
53.5¢$21.9Kpriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5
51.5¢$12.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
42.0¢$9.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.