Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 14 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.0KEvent: Warriors vs. Timberwolves

Polymarket indicative prices · 10 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

51.0¢
Timberwolves
49.0¢
Warriors
—
Spread
anomaly26direction1wallets33execution0priority0data 55%💡 1 smart
24h sample:3 trades$2.0K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 50 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTimberwolves$1.5K@ 50¢·clutchhit

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$15
6h
+$15
tracked
$2.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: Timberwolves · $15 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 50 minutes old.
  • •Less than 14h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Timberwolves" if the Timberwolves win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Warriors".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Timberwolves" if the Timberwolves win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo7 linked markets · $6.7K gross
RollAwayTheDew3 linked markets · $2.7K gross
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $930 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hTimberwolves · $15
6hTimberwolves · $15
24hTimberwolves · $1.1K

Timberwolves price VWAP

Current51.0¢
VWAP 24h49.79¢▲ above by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d49.79¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Timberwolves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$1.5K
45¢
$436
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
50.5¢$7.8Kpriority0
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
47.0¢$5.3Kpriority0
Spread: Warriors (-19.5)
——priority0
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)
——priority0
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
——priority0
Spread: Warriors (-17.5)
——priority0

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.