Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
Polymarket indicative prices · 11 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.
Data confidence 53% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
- •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
- •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
- •Observed tape is 121 minutes old.
- •Less than 15h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Resolution & market truth
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than Natus Vincere in this match.
•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Natus Vincere".
Read full resolution rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Spirit and Natus Vincere in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than Natus Vincere in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Natus Vincere". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Evidence receipts
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Spirit price VWAP
Largest holders
Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.