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Set Handicap: Nadia Podoroska (-1.5) vs Miriam Bulgaru (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $7Event: Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Miriam Bulgaru

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Nadia Podoroska
—
Miriam Bulgaru.
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1 trades$5 trackedsource coverage 67%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 314 min agoofficial metadata 281 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$5
tracked
$5

1 verified profitable wallet: Nadia Podoroska · $5 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nadia Podoroska" if Nadia Podoroska wins by 2 or more sets than Miriam Bulgaru, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Miriam Bulgaru."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Nadia Podoroska can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Miriam Bulgaru."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nadia Podoroska and Miriam Bulgaru in the Queretaro, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nadia Podoroska" if Nadia Podoroska wins by 2 or more sets than Miriam Bulgaru, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Miriam Bulgaru." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Nadia Podoroska can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Miriam Bulgaru." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ARTEM-DZYUBA2 linked markets · $10 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nadia Podoroska; negative values favor Miriam Bulgaru.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNadia Podoroska · $0
6hNadia Podoroska · $5
24hNadia Podoroska · $5

Nadia Podoroska price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nadia Podoroska price. Miriam Bulgaru. fills are converted to the complementary Nadia Podoroska probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h96.0¢
VWAP 7d96.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nadia Podoroska price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$5
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Nadia Podoroska (-4.5) vs Miriam Bulgaru (+4.5)
—$68priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Podoroska vs. Bulgaru: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Podoroska vs. Bulgaru: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nadia Podoroska vs. Miriam Bulgaru: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Podoroska vs. Bulgaru: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Nadia Podoroska vs Miriam Bulgaru
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Podoroska vs. Bulgaru: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Podoroska vs. Bulgaru: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.