PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Sioux Falls: Sebastian Dominko vs Valentin Royer

● quote 301 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $50.2KEvent: Sioux Falls: Sebastian Dominko vs Valentin Royer

Indicative prices · 301 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Sebastian Dominko
8.0¢
Valentin Royer
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:34 trades$9.4K trackedsource coverage 19%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 329 min agoofficial metadata 311 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Valentin Royer · $1.4K net·5 wallets·$2.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYValentin Royer$3.0K@ 62¢·alaskabaked

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$2.7K
tracked
$9.4K

5 verified profitable wallets: Valentin Royer · $1.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 301 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 329 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Dominko and Valentin Royer in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Dominko' if Sebastian Dominko advances against Valentin Royer. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Sebastian Dominko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Sebastian Dominko UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $49.7K → $20.5K · 37s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sebastian Dominko; negative values favor Valentin Royer. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSebastian Dominko · $0
6hValentin Royer · $2.7K
24hValentin Royer · $6.2K

Sebastian Dominko price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sebastian Dominko price. Valentin Royer fills are converted to the complementary Sebastian Dominko probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h58.7¢▲ above by 41.2pp
VWAP 7d58.68¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Sebastian Dominko price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$41
90¢
$2
85¢
$2
80¢
$4
75¢
$2.8K
70¢
$1.1K
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$204
35¢
$3.1K
30¢
$132
25¢
$19
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dominko vs. Royer: Match O/U 23.5
—$253priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dominko vs. Royer: Match O/U 22.5
—$191priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Valentin Royer (-3.5) vs Sebastian Dominko (+3.5)
—$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Sebastian Dominko vs Valentin Royer
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sebastian Dominko vs. Valentin Royer: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dominko vs. Royer: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dominko vs. Royer: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dominko vs. Royer: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.