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Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Coleman Wong

● quote 74 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $57.8KEvent: Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Coleman Wong

Indicative prices · 74 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.1¢
Sho Shimabukuro
99.9¢
Coleman Wong
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:39 trades$14.7K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 82 min agoofficial metadata 74 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSho Shimabukuro$5.0K@ 49¢·unknownloser1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$11.7K
tracked
$14.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Sho Shimabukuro · $3 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 74 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 82 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-06 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Coleman Wong in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Coleman Wong. This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Sho Shimabukuro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9d46…26d83 linked markets · $14 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Coleman Wong UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $20.3K → $792 · 36s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sho Shimabukuro; negative values favor Coleman Wong. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSho Shimabukuro · $0
6hSho Shimabukuro · $11.7K
24hSho Shimabukuro · $11.7K

Sho Shimabukuro price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sho Shimabukuro price. Coleman Wong fills are converted to the complementary Sho Shimabukuro probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h37.8¢▼ below by 37.7pp
VWAP 7d37.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sho Shimabukuro price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$8
45¢
$5.0K
40¢
$610
35¢
$4.7K
30¢
$3.0K
25¢
$90
20¢
$60
15¢
$23
10¢
$537
5¢
$1
0¢
← now
$609

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Coleman Wong (-2.5) vs Sho Shimabukuro (+2.5)
—$965priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Coleman Wong (-1.5) vs Sho Shimabukuro (+1.5)
—$176priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shimabukuro vs. Wong: Match O/U 21.5
—$12priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shimabukuro vs. Wong: Match O/U 23.5
—$8priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shimabukuro vs. Wong: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Sho Shimabukuro vs Coleman Wong
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shimabukuro vs. Wong: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shimabukuro vs. Wong: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.