PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

FK Macva Sabac vs. FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade: O/U 2.5

● quote 52s ago
Sports→SoccerCloses: about 7 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $20.0KEvent: FK Macva Sabac vs. FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - More Markets

Indicative prices · 52s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

64.0¢
Over
36.0¢
Under
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1 trades$12.2K tracked100% 🐋source coverage 61%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 271 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$12.2K@ 62¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$12.2K
tracked
$12.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Over · $12.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Observed tape is 271 minutes old.
  • •Less than 7h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://superliga.rs/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if FK Macva Sabac and FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Serbia SuperLiga game between FK Macva Sabac and FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, originally scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Over" if FK Macva Sabac and FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Monday, November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Monday, November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Monday, November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from Serbia SuperLiga (https://superliga.rs/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $36.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $0
6hOver · $12.2K
24hOver · $12.2K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current64.0¢
VWAP 24h62.0¢▲ above by 2.0pp
VWAP 7d62.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$12.2K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$12.2K@ 62.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

FK Macva Sabac vs. FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade: O/U 3.5
40.5¢$60.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: FK Macva Sabac (-2.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade (-1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: FK Macva Sabac (-5.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: FK Macva Sabac (-1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
FK Macva Sabac vs. FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade: O/U 1.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade (-3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: FK Macva Sabac (-4.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Over$12.2K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.