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Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi

● quote 17s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $760.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $583.6KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi

Polymarket indicative prices · 3 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Lilli Tagger
0.05¢
Han Shi
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets29Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:227 trades$178.7K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lilli Tagger · $21.3K net·14 wallets·$72.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHan Shi$10.0K@ 64¢·horrocrux

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Lilli Tagger pressure: $12.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$12.7K
6h
−$25.0K
tracked
$178.7K

14 verified profitable wallets: Lilli Tagger · $21.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +52.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 52.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Lilli Tagger or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-06 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Han Shi in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Han Shi. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
horrocrux2 linked markets · $15.0K gross
kitopesivan2 linked markets · $50 gross
0x45dd…b62b2 linked markets · $24 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Lilli Tagger53m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Lilli Tagger@ 48.0¢56m ago
15m CONFIRMED +32.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Han Shi@ 48.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -34.0pp
Latest book event: Lilli Tagger UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $499 → $64 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lilli Tagger; negative values favor Han Shi. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLilli Tagger · $12.7K
6hHan Shi · $25.0K
24hHan Shi · $18.3K

Lilli Tagger price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lilli Tagger price. Han Shi fills are converted to the complementary Lilli Tagger probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h65.16¢▲ above by 34.8pp
VWAP 7d65.16¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lilli Tagger price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.4K
90¢
$3.4K
85¢
$6.8K
80¢
$11.5K
75¢
$11.3K
70¢
$25.9K
65¢
$25.5K
60¢
$38.6K
55¢
$4.5K
50¢
$15.8K
45¢
$1.6K
40¢
$2.8K
35¢
$15.7K
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$11
20¢
$3.8K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHan Shi$10.0K@ 64.2¢
horrocrux0xa31c…bdf7
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cHan Shi$18.8K
BUY VWAP 35.25¢·5 fills
HomeRunHazardLilli Tagger$11.2K
BUY VWAP 54.44¢·7 fills
HVABLilli Tagger$10.0K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills
horrocruxHan Shi$10.0K
BUY VWAP 64.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.