Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner

● quote 4 min ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $392.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $738.9KEvent: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Polymarket indicative prices · 14 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Team Liquid
0.05¢
OG
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100direction3wallets69execution30priority0data 83%💡 19 smart
24h sample:292 trades$229.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Liquid · $44.8K net·19 wallets(1🐋)·$65.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Liquid$17.5K@ 100¢·notailnotail

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

OG pressure: $8.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$8.0K
6h
+$108.4K
tracked
$229.6K

19 verified profitable wallets: Team Liquid · $44.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from OG or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 19:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 2 against OG.

•This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win Game 2 against Team Liquid.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between Team Liquid and OG in the PARI Universe Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 2 against OG. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win Game 2 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
madar782 linked markets · $72.8K gross
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $44.0K gross
notailnotail2 linked markets · $37.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Team Liquid DOWN 10.5pp · near-book depth $1.5K → $4.6K · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hOG · $8.0K
6hTeam Liquid · $108.4K
24hTeam Liquid · $108.4K

Team Liquid price VWAP

Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h74.74¢▲ above by 25.2pp
VWAP 7d74.74¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Team Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$59.0K
90¢
$3.4K
85¢
$8.5K
80¢
$9.1K
75¢
$14.0K
70¢
$1.0K
65¢
$11.2K
60¢
$105.7K
55¢
$17.3K
50¢
$439
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLTeam Liquid$17.5K@ 99.9¢
notailnotail0x8d85…c436
🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYTeam Liquid$14.3K@ 61.92¢0xf3ce…a57a🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Liquid$10.0K@ 60.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf3ce…a57aTeam Liquid$24.7K
BUY VWAP 62.69¢·3 fills
0xe16d…5e30Team Liquid$23.0K
BUY VWAP 61.35¢·8 fills
0x076d…8d4cTeam Liquid$15.5K
BUY VWAP 62.52¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.