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Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $49.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

41.5¢
MIBR
58.5¢
Eternal Fire
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets38Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:48 trades$17.4K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Eternal Fire · $16 net·3 wallets·$42 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMIBR$3.1K@ 61¢·0xc9bf…81c0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

MIBR pressure: $1.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.5K
6h
+$1.5K
tracked
$17.4K

3 verified profitable wallets: Eternal Fire · $16 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from MIBR or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against Eternal Fire.

•This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win the match against MIBR.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between MIBR and Eternal Fire in the Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against Eternal Fire. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win the match against MIBR. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc9bf…81c02 linked markets · $12.3K gross
BillBenter20262 linked markets · $763 gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $150 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: MIBR DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $4.1K → $3.3K · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MIBR; negative values favor Eternal Fire. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMIBR · $1.5K
6hMIBR · $1.5K
24hMIBR · $7.5K

MIBR price VWAP

Volume-weighted MIBR price. Eternal Fire fills are converted to the complementary MIBR probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h60.58¢▼ below by 19.1pp
VWAP 7d60.58¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MIBR price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$16.8K
55¢
$11
50¢
$236
45¢
$217
40¢
← now
$134
35¢
$15
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
7.5¢$20.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)
7.0¢$15.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
58.5¢$485priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
59.5¢$342priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
26.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xc9bf…81c0MIBR$11.3K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.