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Swiss Indoors Basel: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges

● quote 75 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $130.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $512.1KEvent: Swiss Indoors Basel: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges

Indicative prices · 75 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Jan-Lennard Struff
0.1¢
Nuno Borges
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets1Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:91 trades$320.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 63%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 88 min agoofficial metadata 79 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jan-Lennard Struff · $1.7K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$260.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJan-Lennard Struff$124.1K@ 100¢·Woaifacai

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$7.0K
tracked
$320.7K

7 verified profitable wallets: Jan-Lennard Struff · $1.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +18.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 75 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 88 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 79 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-06 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Nuno Borges in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Nuno Borges. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Jan-Lennard Struff2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Jan-Lennard Struff2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Jan-Lennard Struff@ 82.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.2pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Jan-Lennard Struff@ 76.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +19.2pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Nuno Borges DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $11.2K → $589 · 14s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jan-Lennard Struff; negative values favor Nuno Borges. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJan-Lennard Struff · $0
6hNuno Borges · $7.0K
24hNuno Borges · $3.5K

Jan-Lennard Struff price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jan-Lennard Struff price. Nuno Borges fills are converted to the complementary Jan-Lennard Struff probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h83.23¢▲ above by 16.7pp
VWAP 7d83.23¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jan-Lennard Struff price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$145.3K
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
$4.7K
80¢
$1.7K
75¢
$107.0K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$10.6K
50¢
$50.3K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJan-Lennard Struff$124.1K@ 99.9¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$39.3K@ 79.99¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$54.1K@ 77.44¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges
—$2.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Jan-Lennard Struff (-1.5) vs Nuno Borges (+1.5)
—$1.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Struff vs. Borges: Match O/U 23.5
—$423priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Jan-Lennard Struff (-1.5) vs Nuno Borges (+1.5)
—$292priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Struff vs. Borges: Match O/U 21.5
—$35priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Struff vs. Borges: Match O/U 22.5
—$32priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Nuno Borges: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$27priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Struff vs. Borges: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WoaifacaiJan-Lennard Struff$97.5K
BUY VWAP 78.47¢·3 fills
LuzzzerNuno Borges$19.7K
BUY VWAP 49.37¢·3 fills
FlaznorpJan-Lennard Struff$14.7K
BUY VWAP 83.67¢·5 fills
ferrariChampions2026Jan-Lennard Struff$12.9K
BUY VWAP 52.49¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.