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Ningbo: Yaroslav Demin vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $75.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $88.5KEvent: Ningbo: Yaroslav Demin vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

48.5¢
Yaroslav Demin
51.5¢
Yu-Hsiou Hsu
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets96Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:50 trades$12.1K trackedsource coverage 13%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Yu-Hsiou Hsu · $1.4K net·6 wallets·$1.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYu-Hsiou Hsu$2.0K@ 59¢·0x54ba…04e4

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Yaroslav Demin SETUP
What the tape says

Yaroslav Demin pressure: $1.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.1K
6h
+$883
tracked
$12.1K

6 verified profitable wallets: Yu-Hsiou Hsu · $1.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 67

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Yaroslav Demin or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yaroslav Demin and Yu-Hsiou Hsu in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Yu-Hsiou Hsu. This market will resolve to 'Yu-Hsiou Hsu' if Yu-Hsiou Hsu advances against Yaroslav Demin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Yu-Hsiou Hsu DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $20.4K → $2.8K · 23s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yaroslav Demin; negative values favor Yu-Hsiou Hsu. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYaroslav Demin · $1.1K
6hYaroslav Demin · $883
24hYu-Hsiou Hsu · $277

Yaroslav Demin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yaroslav Demin price. Yu-Hsiou Hsu fills are converted to the complementary Yaroslav Demin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h50.87¢▼ below by 2.4pp
VWAP 7d50.87¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yaroslav Demin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$245
70¢
$6
65¢
$189
60¢
$2.7K
55¢
$1.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$2.3K
40¢
$4.1K
35¢
$235
30¢
$642
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Yu-Hsiou Hsu (-2.5) vs Yaroslav Demin (+2.5)
44.0¢$300priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Yaroslav Demin vs. Yu-Hsiou Hsu: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.95¢$13priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Demin vs. Hsu: Match O/U 21.5
99.5¢$13priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Demin vs. Hsu: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Yaroslav Demin vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Demin vs. Hsu: Match O/U 23.5
99.55¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Demin vs. Hsu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Demin vs. Hsu: Match O/U 22.5
99.55¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.