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Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $289.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $497.7KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

92.5¢
Xinran Sun
7.5¢
Harriet Dart
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets29Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:189 trades$189.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Harriet Dart · $3.1K net·11 wallets·$10.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYXinran Sun$20.0K@ 63¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Xinran Sun pressure: $25.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$25.5K
6h
+$47.3K
tracked
$189.2K

11 verified profitable wallets: Harriet Dart · $3.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 53

Since latest market sweep: +2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Xinran Sun or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Xinran Sun and Harriet Dart in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinran Sun' if Xinran Sun advances against Harriet Dart. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Xinran Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SeventyPercentPlus2 linked markets · $9.3K gross
0xd6f9…e95d2 linked markets · $2.0K gross
0xdbdd…a5de2 linked markets · $205 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Xinran Sun@ 91.0¢3m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Xinran Sun48m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Xinran Sun@ 47.0¢59m ago
15m CONFIRMED +32.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Xinran Sun1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Xinran Sun UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $474 → $15.9K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Xinran Sun; negative values favor Harriet Dart. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hXinran Sun · $25.5K
6hXinran Sun · $47.3K
24hXinran Sun · $55.1K

Xinran Sun price VWAP

Volume-weighted Xinran Sun price. Harriet Dart fills are converted to the complementary Xinran Sun probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current92.5¢
VWAP 24h62.08¢▲ above by 30.4pp
VWAP 7d62.08¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Xinran Sun price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$0
85¢
$16.7K
80¢
$15.8K
75¢
$6.4K
70¢
$4.3K
65¢
$19.6K
60¢
$37.7K
55¢
$6.8K
50¢
$73.0K
45¢
$50
40¢
$5.2K
35¢
$2.4K
30¢
$1.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYXinran Sun$20.0K@ 63.02¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYXinran Sun$16.6K@ 54.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHarriet Dart$13.0K@ 49.44¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart
74.0¢$17.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Match O/U 21.5
99.95¢$3.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Harriet Dart (-1.5) vs Xinran Sun (+1.5)
0.45¢$453priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Xinran Sun vs. Harriet Dart: Total Sets O/U 2.5
18.0¢$146priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Harriet Dart (-1.5) vs Xinran Sun (+1.5)
50.0¢$128priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Match O/U 22.5
62.5¢$13priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooXinran Sun$34.0K
BUY VWAP 63.78¢·3 fills
KkunnXinran Sun$19.7K
BUY VWAP 53.68¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesXinran Sun$14.9K
BUY VWAP 84.77¢·6 fills
CandleHammerDrumsXinran Sun$14.8K
BUY VWAP 77.25¢·8 fills
LuzzzerHarriet Dart$13.0K
BUY VWAP 49.44¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.