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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $74.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $728.1KEvent: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

96.55¢
Team Spirit
3.45¢
Team Liquid
0.9¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection48Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets97Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority80Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:200 trades$238.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Spirit · $32.7K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$33.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Spirit$16.2K@ 72¢·Sunshine.Smile

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Team Spirit pressure: $112.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$112.1K
6h
+$160.1K
tracked
$238.0K

14 verified profitable wallets: Team Spirit · $32.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.9¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 80

Since latest large flow: +20.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 20.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Spirit or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 23:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Team Liquid.

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Team Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Team Spirit and Team Liquid in the PARI Universe Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e304 linked markets · $96.3K gross
GameGambleStakes3 linked markets · $51.6K gross
Hdisllbsj3 linked markets · $37.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Spirit3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Spirit@ 77.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +14.0pp
Latest book event: Team Spirit UP 4.4pp · near-book depth $3.3K → $4.6K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Spirit; negative values favor Team Liquid. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Spirit · $112.1K
6hTeam Spirit · $160.1K
24hTeam Spirit · $160.1K

Team Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Spirit price. Team Liquid fills are converted to the complementary Team Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current96.55¢
VWAP 24h75.5¢▲ above by 21.1pp
VWAP 7d75.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.0K
90¢
$16.5K
85¢
$17.2K
80¢
$6.5K
75¢
$47.9K
70¢
$122.1K
65¢
$24.8K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Spirit$16.2K@ 71.9¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—34 minutes ago
BUYTeam Spirit$10.0K@ 71.98¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYTeam Spirit$11.7K@ 75.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
0.05¢$36.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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99.95¢$1.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 1 Winner
52.5¢$1.5Mpriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Knicks vs. 76ers
58.5¢$1.2Mpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider
—$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
72.5¢$924.8Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot
—$677.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu
—$660.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30Team Spirit$23.0K
BUY VWAP 72.19¢·7 fills
GeorgeReTeam Spirit$16.9K
BUY VWAP 74.15¢·3 fills
qiu3Team Spirit$16.7K
BUY VWAP 72.37¢·5 fills
Sunshine.SmileTeam Spirit$16.2K
BUY VWAP 71.9¢·1 fill
UlfsaarTeam Spirit$11.7K
BUY VWAP 82.80¢·3 fills
0xf201…527eTeam Spirit$11.7K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill
relativesignificanceTeam Spirit$11.1K
BUY VWAP 71.74¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.