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Timberwolves vs. Pelicans

● quote 15s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $14.2KEvent: Timberwolves vs. Pelicans

Indicative prices · 15s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

60.5¢
Timberwolves
39.5¢
Pelicans
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly33Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%
24h sample:25 trades$259 trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 56 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$5
6h
−$65
tracked
$259

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 2%.
  • •Observed tape is 56 minutes old.
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".

•If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Timberwolves and Pelicans, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi5 linked markets · $638 gross
0x73c8…e1b12 linked markets · $33 gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $19 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Timberwolves; negative values favor Pelicans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPelicans · $5
6hPelicans · $65
24hTimberwolves · $31

Timberwolves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Timberwolves price. Pelicans fills are converted to the complementary Timberwolves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current60.5¢
VWAP 24h61.46¢▼ below by 1.0pp
VWAP 7d62.75¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Timberwolves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$521
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
50.5¢$12.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
47.5¢$7.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
—$3.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5
—$1.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
—$1.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5
—$1.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5
—$391priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)
—$266priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.