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Nets vs. Mavericks

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $320.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $82.9KEvent: Nets vs. Mavericks

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

26.5¢
Nets
73.5¢
Mavericks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%
24h sample:28 trades$44.3K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 18s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMavericks$21.0K@ 74¢·0xf559…f462

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$11
6h
−$29.7K
tracked
$44.3K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 24 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets".

•If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Nets and Mavericks, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
RJW12 linked markets · $60.8K gross
0xf559…f4622 linked markets · $51.6K gross
quavoo6 linked markets · $47.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Mavericks@ 74.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nets; negative values favor Mavericks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMavericks · $11
6hMavericks · $29.7K
24hMavericks · $39.5K

Nets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nets price. Mavericks fills are converted to the complementary Nets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current26.5¢
VWAP 24h25.33¢▲ above by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d25.33¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
← now
$37.7K
20¢
$6.6K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMavericks$11.1K@ 74.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYMavericks$21.0K@ 74.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
45.5¢$78.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
52.5¢$61.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
41.5¢$49.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
38.5¢$28.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
50.5¢$27.3Kpriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
36.5¢$20.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Mavericks (-33.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Mavericks (-19.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf559…f462Mavericks$32.1K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.