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Spurs vs. Bulls

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 17 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $49.3KEvent: Spurs vs. Bulls

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

90.5¢
Spurs
9.5¢
Bulls
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%
24h sample:29 trades$24.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpurs$10.0K@ 91¢·beaverfever0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Spurs pressure: $2.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.3K
6h
+$22.7K
tracked
$24.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Less than 17h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Spurs or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".

•If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Spurs and Bulls, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Spurs; negative values favor Bulls. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSpurs · $2.3K
6hSpurs · $22.7K
24hSpurs · $23.9K

Spurs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Spurs price. Bulls fills are converted to the complementary Spurs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current90.5¢
VWAP 24h90.22¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d90.22¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Spurs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$22.7K
85¢
$1.3K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSpurs$10.0K@ 90.52¢
beaverfever00x79f8…c57e
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
—$3.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
—$1.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
—$1.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
—$1.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
—$990priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
—$872priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5
—$641priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
—$602priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooSpurs$10.3K
BUY VWAP 90.00¢·8 fills
beaverfever0Spurs$10.0K
BUY VWAP 90.52¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.