Pistons vs. Wizards

● quote just now

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $57.9KEvent: Pistons vs. Wizards

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

79.5¢

Pistons

20.5¢

Wizards

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly2Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:70 trades$26.8K trackedsource coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pistons · $2.5K net·2 wallets·$2.5K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPistons$5.0K@ 79¢·beaverfever0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

−$4

+$8.2K

tracked

$26.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: Pistons · $2.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 22 minutes old.
•Less than 9h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-13 00:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons".

•If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Pistons and Wizards, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

AppleTiiime3 linked markets · $5.0K gross

HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $3.6K gross

mooseborzoi4 linked markets · $877 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pistons; negative values favor Wizards. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hWizards · $4

6hPistons · $8.2K

24hPistons · $22.7K

Pistons price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pistons price. Wizards fills are converted to the complementary Pistons probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current79.5¢

VWAP 24h78.79¢▲ above by 0.7pp

VWAP 7d78.78¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pistons price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

$286

75¢

← now

$26.8K

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

50¢

45¢

40¢

35¢

30¢

25¢

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15¢

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5¢

0¢

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Pistons (-10.5)

49.5¢$65.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5

47.5¢$13.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Pistons (-11.5)

45.5¢$3.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

52.5¢$3.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Pistons (-19.5)

23.5¢$545priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Wizards (-12.5)

4.0¢$80priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

58.5¢$44priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Pistons (-17.5)

27.5¢$19priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.