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Cavaliers vs. Heat

● quote 20s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $13.4KEvent: Cavaliers vs. Heat

Indicative prices · 20s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

44.5¢
Cavaliers
55.5¢
Heat
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%
24h sample:12 trades$361 trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$34
6h
−$189
tracked
$361

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-14 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".

•If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Cavaliers and Heat, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cavaliers; negative values favor Heat. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCavaliers · $34
6hHeat · $189
24hHeat · $183

Cavaliers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cavaliers price. Heat fills are converted to the complementary Cavaliers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h44.89¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d44.89¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cavaliers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$24
45¢
$94
40¢
← now
$243
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Heat (-8.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5
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Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 233.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Heat (-3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Heat (-2.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 223.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.